Wednesday 15 June 2011

MVP - jag vill leva jag vill dö med Nordin

How do you measure the most valuabe player of your team? There are, as far as I can see it, three measurable criteria that hopefully captures most of the unmeasurable criteria too: quantity (minutes played), quality (how well you played) and result (how the team fared when you played).  That means that goals, assists and such are put to the side as different players are supposed to do different things.

I had a look at Örebro's league season so far, using these criteria on the 15 players that have played enough games to make an impact.  For the quantity guys, I take my hat off, but the importance of you being around all the time is too obvious.  Instead I selected my top 5 based on the other two criteria.

1. Nordin Gerzic.  The story from last year is repeating itself this year: when Nordin plays well, we win, when he doesn't we're in trouble, if he doesn't play at all we lose.  Nordin is the spider in the web, the engine room of Örebro's creativity, without which we simple do not function.  I witnessed live the warm up against AIK this spring, when Nordin injured his thigh.  I can say now with some confidence that had that not happened, we would now be top of the table.  Örebro has played three games without Nordin and lost them all.  With him, we won six, drew one (against top of the table Helsingborg) and lost one (to Gefle, the only game where Nordin played badly).  When crying over losing Bedoya (probably) and Almebäck, we should not forget that our North and South, our East and West, our working week and Sundfay rest, is sitting on an expiring contract with a salary that is far too low.  Nordin loves Örebro SK.  Please love him back or you may lose him.

2. Andreas Haddad.  Örebro's average points with Haddad on the pitch is actually just as good, even a tad better, than Gerzic's.  Although the importance of Haddad diminished the second Atashkadeh scored against Trelleborg two days ago.  Atashkadeh will be a good back-up for Haddad, but he is not Haddad.  Örebro's 4-3-3 is based on a strong box player, and Andreas has everything we need.  Again with the exception of Gefle, we win with Haddad on the pitch.  Please come back soon.

3. John Alvbåge.  The main reason why we suddenly stood out from the bunch and defined ourselves as a top team.  After a while, outsiders understood we were right.  Without the skills and the spirit of our keeper, both on and off the pitch, I'm not sure it would have happened.  Another contact that needs extension.  Pronto.

4. Alejandro Bedoya.  He has been our best player when on the pitch.  The funny thing is that we have actually done better without him.  Has Ale started to play more for himself than for the team?  Both Alejandro and Örebro should be proud of what he has become during his spell with us, but we both know it is coming to an end.

5. Valdet Rama. Would I have put Almebäck on the list if he has not signed with Bruges? Yes, if he had extended his contract and become a real Örebro player, I would.  But this year, to me, Mikael has made to many individual mistakes.  Although he mostly makes up for them with his speed, sometimes it has cost us points.  He needs to be replaced, but he is not irreplaceable as many have said.  Valdet Rama, on the other hand: how often will we come across a player like that? Playing at a level way ahead of the rest of the league, he is slowly growing into the team and may well dominate this autumn.  Strong of him to start all 11 games so far - I think it is about time he gets some rest in tonight's cup tie.


For the geeks - below are my stats.  Of my 5 MVP's 4 are on the top 5 in terms of quality and 2 on the top 5 in terms of result.  The latter list must be placed in context though, but it is interesting to note that the every time we have excluded either Lushtaku or Kihlberg from the starting line up (or both), we have won.
Quantity
1 Alvbåge, 990 mins (all)
1 Wikström, 990 mins
1 Wowoah, 990 mins
4 Almebäck, 900 mins
4 Haginge, 900 mins
(impressive consistency in defence)
6 Rama, 849 mins
7 Bedoya, 810 mins
8 Kihlberg, 779 mins
9 Gerzic, 702 mins
10 Lushtaku, 664 mins
11 Nordback, 462 mins
12 Paulinho, 397 mins
13 Haddad, 393 mins
14 Astvald, 390 mins
15 Anttonen, 203 mins

Quality (average rating by four sources, per game / games rated)
1. Bedoya 2.97 / 9
2. Gerzic 2.69 / 8
3. Alvbåge 2.64 / 11
4. Rama 2.57 / 11
5. Almebäck 2.53 / 10
6. Wikström 2.45 / 11
7. Nordback 2.45 / 5
8. Haddad 2.35 / 5
9. Haginge 2.33 / 10
10. Anttonen 2.25 / 4
11. Kihlberg 2.20 / 10
12. Paulinho 2.10 / 5
13. Wowoah 2.07 / 11
14. Lushtaku 1.94 / 11
15. Astvald 1.84 / 8

Result (average points for every game started, if different also in all games played [between brackets])
1. Anttonen 3.00 (2.25)
2. Haddad 2.40
3. Gerzic 2.38
4. Nordback 1.8 (1.71)
5. Astvald 1.75 (1.60)
6. Alvbåge 1.73
6. Rama 1.73
6. Wikström 1.73
6. Wowoah 1.73
10. Almebäck 1.60
11. Haginge 1.60
12. Paulinho 1.5 (1.67)
13. Bedoya 1.44
14. Lushtaku 1.25 (1.73)
15. Kihlberg 1.25 (1.60)

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