I spy... no more

Let's stop it right there.

Some teams I did not get around to assess, and will only briedly comment on:

St. Patrick's, Ireland: A good draw, 60% chance of winning
Qarabag: Not sure we wanna go to Azerbaijan, and this is a team with recent European experience not doing so badly at all: 55%
Jagiellonia: A new polish team that played Europa League qualifiers for the first time last season, losing to Aris from Greece. The Polish league has not impressed lately. 60%
Rabotnicki, Macedonia: 60%
Aktobe: Not sure I want to go to Kazakhstan either. The dominating team in Kazakh football over the last years, but never impressive in Europe and only 4th in the League currently. 65%
Vojvodina: Beat us twice in the Intertoto cup in the 90s.  Good goalkeeper. 50%
Bohemians, Ireland: Plenty of European experience, but almost exclusively from losing.  70%
AEK Larnaca: Here I have a bit more: The played really well in the first half of the season, beyond expectations since they were coming from the second division (they got relegated for a year).  In the second half of the season they simply collapsed, not enough depth in the team.  The only managed two wins in the second half against small teams. In the play offs (6 games against the top 3 teams) they lost every single game and scored only one goal, pathetic really.  Common point with Anorthosis is that they are restructuring too.  Their technical director is none other that Jordi Croyf (aka son of Johan) so he manages to attract good transfer targets. For example they got Kevin Hofland (ex PSV) on their roster.  So it remains to be seen whom they manage to attract.  They could do well but they lack the 'big team" factor. 60%
Trnava, Slovakia: Unimpressive European record (save for the 70s).  Were lucky to qualify.  60%
Dinamo Tbilsi: Team with a great past, including a cupwinners cup final in 1981 and semifinal in 1982.  Recently returned to European play (beating Gefle last year, more than we failed to do this year...).  60%
Sarajevo: Beat Helsingborg in 2009, on penalties.  Dangerous.  50%
Honka: The club where we once found Roni Porokara.  Average in the Finnish league so far.  70%
Levadia Tallinn: Top team in Estonia but we should still be better: 70%
RNK Split: Played in the Croatian fourth division in 2008.  Since then they have won everything until the ended 3rd in the top league during their first season.  With some great players on the squad. 50%
Varazdin: Only 11th in the Croatian league, qualified by losing the cup final.  Where we once found Nedim Halilovic. 60%

Overall, a 50% chance we will make it.  Dream opponent is Lokomotiv Sofia.  Worst possible draw is Maccabi Tel Aviv.  On Monday we will know.  Watch this space.