Friday 9 September 2011

Solo con te, sempre con te

Last out is Italy and Serie A.

The strike allowed us to await the closing of the transfer window, to sit down and analyse the squads.  In particular in Italy that is important, as the clubs in general (and Genoa in particular) recently have developed a system of loans, partial ownerships and other arrangements that make a Korean chaebol look pretty straighforward.

Here's my prediction.
1. Milan. Stronger this season, in particular in defense where there are more alternatives and real fullbacks now. The absence of Mr. X means no real chance to challenge in Europe, but in a weakened Serie A they will be big favourites.
2. Inter. What can Gasperini do with this bunch? Inter was a team with more direction than any in the last few season. Last year there was no direction at all.  It's a big squad, with a lot of good players, but perhaps not enough great players.  Already a lot of injuries. And most of all, no Eto'o.
3. Juventus. The big signings did not happen, but it's time for Juve to have a decent season.
4. Lazio. Zarate failed to make an impact last year anyway.  Lazio will continue to go strong.  I hope they can focus on Europa league as well.
5. Roma. It certainly did not start well for Luis Enrique.  And with the history of Spaniards in Italy, we need to be careful here.  A team that could challenge for the title, but can also end up 7th.
6. Fiorentina. With focus on the league and the league only, and so many disappointments that pressure has fallen, Fiorentina is suddenly in a good position. Sinisa, look at this season as a free-kick attempt 10 metres outside the box.
7. Udinese. Always hard to predict. It's not so much about how much they will miss Sanchez as how long the winning spells will be in comparison to the losing spells.
8. Napoli. Surprisingly intact.  But strong enough to handle champions league on the side, with six big games on the side? Important season for Napoli, need to convince the world they are not just a one-hit wonder.
9. Genoa. It's quite comical that Genoa has bought a player called Constant. Let's say they need a bit of that.  With a new squad every year, and with most players co-owned somewhere else, it is hard to see Genoa establishing themselves as the top team they want to be.  But they players with the capacuity, but not the team.
10. Cesena. Mutu! Quite a surprise, but if he uses his nose to find goals and not for other purposes, this could be exactly what Cesena needs.  They play nice, free-flow football, but need to convert their chances.
11. Palermo. If it was any other team I would say that firing the new coach during pre-season would indicate that something is really wrong.  In Palermo that is business as usual.  But Palermo have lost players that cannot easily be replaced. A good youth academy, sure, but this season looks like a dip.
12. Parma. The year of the Giovinco? He is not a baby anymore, if it should happen for the formica atomica it should happen now.
13. Atalanta. Like the youth team they are, they tend to make a good start when they are back from serie B, and then slowly fall back.  Or youth team? Actually more experienced then the other newcomers.
14. Catania.  Just like a girl, the true look of the squad is more apparent without the Mascara. But Legrottaglie, if he gets fit, and Maxi Lopez, are significant acquisitions.
15. Cagliari.
16. Chievo. Underestimating Chievo is a tradition, can't just stop now.
17. Bologna. If they stay up it's thanks to di Vaio. As always
18. Lecce
19. Siena.
20. Novara. Can they surprise anyone?

1 comment:

  1. Serie A - Old flames can't hold a candle to you.

    1 Milan - Pazza Inter will not be able to compete
    2 Inter - Moving towards an erratic season. Forlan will not be able to replace Eto'o.
    3. Roma - Sticking my neck out, but they have the most intersting team in all of serie a; Pjanic, Lamela, Bojan, Kjaer, Gago, that dutch goalkeeper and Luis Enrique. Could produce some wonderful football. However, there is a risk that De Rossi and Totti may spoil the party.
    4. Napoli - Lavezzi, Cavani, Gargano can move any mountain.
    5. Juventus - The old lady needs a rejuvenation. Did not get it this year, but they will still challenge for the top four.
    6. Lazio - So difficult to predict. Lost Muslera, Zarate, Lichtsteiner. Got Cisse and Klose, kept Hernanes. I do not yet trust Bizzarri, an unfortunate name for a goal keeper and I don't think Lazio will be as goog as last year.
    7. Udinese - Was a bit unfortunate against Arsenal, but at least showed that they will survive without Sanchez.
    8. Fiorentina
    9. Genoa
    10. Palermo
    11. Parma
    12. Atalanta
    13. Cesena
    14. Chievo
    15. Catania
    16. Bologna
    17. Lecce
    18. Cagliari
    19. Siena
    20. Novara

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